Liechtenstein
Azerbaijan
Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Liechtenstein 0.2 – 1.5 Azerbaijan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Azerbaijan travel as clear favourites – 72% to win, against 7% for Liechtenstein.
Liechtenstein have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Azerbaijan have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. Azerbaijan come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (0.2 for Liechtenstein, 1.5 for Azerbaijan). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (27%), 0–2 (20%), 0–0 (18%).
In their last 1 meeting, Liechtenstein have won 0, Azerbaijan have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 83% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.21. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 is our value angle (66% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Azerbaijan to win | 72% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Azerbaijan or draw | 93% | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 65% | 1.55 | 1.32 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 27% | 3.72 | – |
Form
Liechtenstein – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Gibraltar | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Oct | @ Azerbaijan | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Malta | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | vs Lithuania | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | vs Cyprus | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | @ Andorra | 0–2 | L |
Azerbaijan – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs Lithuania | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Oct | vs Liechtenstein | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Lithuania | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | vs Tajikistan | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Jun | vs San Marino | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Jun | vs Malta | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 1 Oct 2026 | Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein | 0–0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Moldova
Kazakhstan
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.44
Serbia
Germany
2Germany to win
73%@1.28
Netherlands
Greece
1Netherlands to win
68%@1.42
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.22
Bulgaria
Iceland
X2Iceland or draw
87%@1.22
Luxembourg
Estonia
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
83%@1.20
Andorra
Gibraltar
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
74%@1.34
Slovenia
Switzerland
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.25
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
On our numbers Liechtenstein have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Azerbaijan 72%.
How many goals will there be in Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
When is Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.