Andorra
Gibraltar
Andorra vs Gibraltar prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.34
Value bet: Andorra to win @ 1.85 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Andorra 1.2 – 0.4 Gibraltar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Andorra are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 15% for Gibraltar.
Andorra have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Gibraltar have 12 points from their last 6 (3W 3D 0L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. Gibraltar come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.6 goals (1.2 for Andorra, 0.4 for Gibraltar). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (25%), 0–0 (21%), 2–0 (15%).
In their last 1 meeting, Andorra have won 0, Gibraltar have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.34 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Andorra to win at 1.85 is our value angle (61% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Andorra to win | 61% | 1.65 | 1.85 ▲ |
| Double chance | Andorra or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 56% | 1.77 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 | 1.34 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Andorra / FT Andorra | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 25% | 4.06 | – |
Form
Andorra – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Malta | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | @ Lithuania | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Gibraltar | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | vs Malta | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Kosovo | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Jun | vs Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
Gibraltar – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Oct | @ Malta | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Andorra | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | vs Sao Tome and Principe | 0–0 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Cayman Islands | 4–1 | W |
| 3 Jun | vs British Virgin Islands | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
| 27 Sep 2026 | Gibraltar v Andorra | 0–0 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Andorra vs Gibraltar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Andorra vs Gibraltar?
On our numbers Andorra have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gibraltar 15%.
How many goals will there be in Andorra vs Gibraltar?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
When is Andorra vs Gibraltar?
Andorra vs Gibraltar (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.