Slovenia
Switzerland
Slovenia vs Switzerland prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Slovenia 0.8 – 1.7 Switzerland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Switzerland travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 16% for Slovenia.
Slovenia have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Switzerland have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. Switzerland come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Slovenia, 1.7 for Switzerland). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Slovenia have won 0, Switzerland have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.00 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Switzerland to win | 61% | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| Double chance | Switzerland or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 54% | 1.84 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Switzerland ahead at half-time | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Switzerland / FT Switzerland | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 | 14% | 6.97 | – |
Form
Slovenia – last 6
| 6 Oct | @ Scotland | 2–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Switzerland | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | vs FYR Macedonia | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Scotland | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Jun | @ Croatia | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | vs Cyprus | 1–1 | D |
Switzerland – last 6
| 6 Oct | vs FYR Macedonia | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | vs Slovenia | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | @ Scotland | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ FYR Macedonia | 3–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | @ Argentina | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Jul | vs Colombia | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 3 Oct 2026 | Switzerland v Slovenia | 2–1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Moldova
Kazakhstan
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.44
Serbia
Germany
2Germany to win
73%@1.28
Netherlands
Greece
1Netherlands to win
68%@1.42
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.22
Bulgaria
Iceland
X2Iceland or draw
87%@1.22
Liechtenstein
Azerbaijan
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
83%@1.22
Luxembourg
Estonia
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
83%@1.20
Andorra
Gibraltar
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
74%@1.34
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Slovenia vs Switzerland?
On our numbers Slovenia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Switzerland 61%.
How many goals will there be in Slovenia vs Switzerland?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Slovenia vs Switzerland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.