Malta vs Andorra prediction & analysis
Malta to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Malta 1.4 – 0.6 Andorra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Malta hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 19% for Andorra.
Malta have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Andorra have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Malta come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.4 for Malta, 0.6 for Andorra). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 0–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Malta have won 1, Andorra have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Malta to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.69.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Malta to win ✓ | 59% | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | Malta or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 59% | 1.68 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 49% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Malta / FT Malta ✗ | 33% | 2.99 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 19% | 5.31 | – |
Form
Malta – last 6
| 1 Oct | vs Gibraltar | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | @ Andorra | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Jun | @ Azerbaijan | 2–0 | W |
| 1 Jun | @ Slovakia | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Luxembourg | 0–3 | L |
Andorra – last 6
| 30 Sep | @ Lithuania | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Gibraltar | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Sep | vs Malta | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Kosovo | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Jun | vs Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 29 May | @ Iraq | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 24 Sep 2026 | Andorra v Malta | 1–2 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malta | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 2 |  Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 |  Andorra | 3 | -2 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Azerbaijan1
Lithuania0
Kosovo1
Austria1
Greece0
Germany0
Netherlands2
Serbia1
Portugal2
Norway1
Wales0
Denmark1
Rep. Of Ireland1
Israel1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Malta vs Andorra?
Our pick is Malta to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Malta vs Andorra?
On our numbers Malta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Andorra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Malta vs Andorra?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Malta vs Andorra?
Malta vs Andorra (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ta'Qali National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.