Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel prediction & analysis
Rep. Of Ireland to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.86 · bookmaker 2.00 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rep. Of Ireland 1.6 – 0.9 Israel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Rep. Of Ireland hold the edge on home soil with a 54% chance of winning, against 24% for Israel.
Rep. Of Ireland have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.7 per game. Israel have 5 points from their last 5 (1W 2D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.6 for Rep. Of Ireland, 0.9 for Israel). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (12%), 2–0 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Rep. Of Ireland have won 1, Israel have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Rep. Of Ireland to win at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.86, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Rep. Of Ireland to win ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.30 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Rep. Of Ireland / FT Rep. Of Ireland ✗ | 31% | 3.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.79 | – |
Form
Rep. Of Ireland – last 6
| 1 Oct | vs Austria | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Israel | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | @ Kosovo | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Jun | @ Canada | 1–1 | D |
| 28 May | vs Qatar | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs FYR Macedonia | 0–0 | D |
Israel – last 5
| 1 Oct | vs Kosovo | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Rep. Of Ireland | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Sep | @ Austria | 1–3 | L |
| 3 Jun | @ Albania | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | @ Georgia | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 27 Sep 2026 | Israel v Rep. Of Ireland | 0–3 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | +4 | 8 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 3 |  Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | -5 | 2 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
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Lithuania0
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Netherlands2
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Portugal2
Norway1
Wales0
Denmark1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
Our pick is Rep. Of Ireland to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
On our numbers Rep. Of Ireland have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Israel 24%.
How many goals will there be in Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel?
Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Gradski Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.