Double chanceColorado Springs or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One Cup sees Colorado Springs take on New Mexico United on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Weidner Field. Colorado Springs are 2nd with 12 points from 4 games (in the top four), while New Mexico United sit 13th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Colorado Springs's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Orange County SC 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
New Mexico United's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Colorado Springs and 0.8 for New Mexico United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colorado Springs 58%, draw 23%, New Mexico United 18%.
Safer route: Colorado Springs or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Colorado Springs 1–0 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colorado Springs58%fair 1.71 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.65
New Mexico United18%fair 5.44 · @4.10
2.43Expected goals
1.65Colorado Springs xG
0.79New Mexico United xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Colorado Springs 1.6 – 0.8 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colorado Springs to win✓
58%
1.71
1.73
Double chance
Colorado Springs or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colorado Springs / FT Colorado Springs✓
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Colorado Springs – last 6
DDWWLW
9 May
vs Orange County SC
2–2
D
3 May
@ San Antonio
3–3
D
26 Apr
@ Phoenix Rising
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Sporting Kansas City
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Orange County SC
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Azteca
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
New Mexico United – last 6
WDWLWL
10 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
3–1
W
7 May
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–2
D
26 Apr
vs Alta
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Phoenix Rising
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Orange County SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs El Paso Locomotive
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colorado Springs and New Mexico United.
What is the prediction for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers Colorado Springs have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and New Mexico United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is Colorado Springs 1–0 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United?
Colorado Springs vs New Mexico United (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Weidner Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
