Union Omaha vs Louisville City prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLouisville City to win ✓68% · @1.48
Double chanceLouisville City or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.29
Union Omaha vs Louisville City preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One Cup sees Union Omaha take on Louisville City on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Werner Park. Union Omaha are 23rd with 6 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Louisville City sit 1st on 12 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Union Omaha's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat One Knoxville 2–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Louisville City's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.9 for Union Omaha and 2.3 for Louisville City. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Omaha 13%, draw 19%, Louisville City 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Union Omaha 0–2 Louisville City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Omaha13%fair 7.71 · @5.60
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.00
Louisville City68%fair 1.47 · @1.48
3.18Expected goals
0.90Union Omaha xG
2.28Louisville City xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Union Omaha 0.9 – 2.3 Louisville City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louisville City to win✓
68%
1.47
1.48
Double chance
Louisville City or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Half-time result
Louisville City ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louisville City / FT Louisville City✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.29
–
Form
Union Omaha – last 6
WDWWLL
14 May
@ One Knoxville
2–1
W
10 May
vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2–2
D
3 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Indy Eleven
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
1–2
L
15 Apr
@ Colorado Rapids
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Louisville City – last 6
LLDWWD
10 May
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
2 May
@ Detroit City
1–2
L
30 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Fort Wayne
3–1
W
15 Apr
vs Austin
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Loudoun United
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Omaha and Louisville City.
What is the prediction for Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
On our numbers Union Omaha have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Louisville City 68%.
How many goals will there be in Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
Our predicted score is Union Omaha 0–2 Louisville City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Union Omaha vs Louisville City?
Union Omaha vs Louisville City (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Werner Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
