Value bet: Sacramento Republic to win @ 2.50 – our chance 47% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSacramento Republic to win ✓47% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓10% · fair 9.67
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic preview and prediction
The match
Sacramento Republic travel to Laney College Football Stadium in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 17 May (01:00 WAT) to face Oakland Roots. Oakland Roots are 26th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Sacramento Republic sit 11th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Oakland Roots's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat El Paso Locomotive 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sacramento Republic's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Orange County SC 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sacramento Republic arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Oakland Roots and 1.6 for Sacramento Republic. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Sacramento Republic to win at 2.50 – 47% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Oakland Roots 1–1 Sacramento Republic. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Oakland Roots29%fair 3.42 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Sacramento Republic47%fair 2.12 · @2.50
2.71Expected goals
1.16Oakland Roots xG
1.55Sacramento Republic xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Oakland Roots 1.2 – 1.6 Sacramento Republic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sacramento Republic to win✓
47%
2.12
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sacramento Republic / FT Sacramento Republic✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
10%
9.67
–
Form
Oakland Roots – last 6
WWDDLD
10 May
vs El Paso Locomotive
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs Las Vegas Lights
4–2
W
19 Apr
vs FC Tulsa
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Orange County SC
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Phoenix Rising
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Sacramento Republic – last 6
WWDDWW
3 May
vs Orange County SC
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs Spokane Velocity
4–0
W
22 Apr
@ Brooklyn
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Las Vegas Lights
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Phoenix Rising
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Valley 559 FC
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Oakland Roots and Sacramento Republic.
What is the prediction for Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?
On our numbers Oakland Roots have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sacramento Republic 47%.
How many goals will there be in Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?
Our predicted score is Oakland Roots 1–1 Sacramento Republic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic?
Oakland Roots vs Sacramento Republic (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Laney College Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
