Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 57% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSenegal to win ✓73% · @1.24
Double chanceSenegal or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Senegal vs Iraq preview and prediction
The match
Senegal host Iraq in the World Cup on Friday 26 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at BMO Field.
Form guide
Senegal's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Norway 2–3 away. They average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Iraq's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to France 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Senegal and 0.9 for Iraq. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Senegal 73%, draw 19%, Iraq 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 57% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Senegal 2–1 Iraq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Senegal73%fair 1.38 · @1.24
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @5.60
Iraq9%fair 11.70 · @12.00
3.68Expected goals
2.73Senegal xG
0.95Iraq xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–09%
2–19%
3–09%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Senegal 2.7 – 0.9 Iraq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Senegal to win✓
73%
1.38
1.24
Double chance
Senegal or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.55
Half-time result
Senegal ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Senegal / FT Senegal✓
52%
1.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Senegal – last 5
LLDLW
23 Jun
@ Norway
2–3
L
16 Jun
@ France
1–3
L
10 Jun
@ Saudi Arabia
0–0
D
31 May
@ USA
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Gambia
3–1
W
1.6Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Iraq – last 6
LLLDWW
22 Jun
@ France
0–3
L
16 Jun
vs Norway
1–4
L
10 Jun
vs Venezuela
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Spain
1–1
D
29 May
vs Andorra
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Bolivia
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Senegal and Iraq.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Senegal vs Iraq?
On our numbers Senegal have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Iraq 9%.
How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Iraq?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Senegal vs Iraq?
Our predicted score is Senegal 2–1 Iraq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Senegal vs Iraq?
Senegal vs Iraq (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at BMO Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
Japan1
Sweden1
Paraguay0
Australia0
Türkiye3
USA2
Norway1
France4