Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Australia to win @ 3.90 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultParaguay to win ✗36% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗68% · @1.55
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Paraguay vs Australia preview and prediction
The match
Australia travel to Levi's Stadium in the World Cup on Friday 26 June (03:00 WAT) to face Paraguay.
Form guide
Paraguay's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Türkiye 1–0 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Australia's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to USA 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Paraguay and 1.1 for Australia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 35%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Paraguay 36%, draw 32%, Australia 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Australia to win at 3.90 – 32% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Paraguay 1–1 Australia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paraguay36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.26
Australia32%fair 3.10 · @3.90
2.23Expected goals
1.15Paraguay xG
1.08Australia xG
54%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Paraguay 1.2 – 1.1 Australia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paraguay to win✗
36%
2.80
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.13
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paraguay / FT Paraguay✗
21%
4.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Paraguay – last 5
WLWLW
20 Jun
@ Türkiye
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Morocco
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Greece
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Australia – last 6
LWDLWW
19 Jun
@ USA
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Türkiye
2–0
W
6 Jun
@ Switzerland
1–1
D
31 May
@ Mexico
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Curaçao
5–1
W
27 Mar
vs Cameroon
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paraguay and Australia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Paraguay vs Australia?
On our numbers Paraguay have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Australia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Paraguay vs Australia?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paraguay vs Australia?
Our predicted score is Paraguay 1–1 Australia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paraguay vs Australia?
Paraguay vs Australia (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Levi's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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