Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrance to win ✓63% · @1.64
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Norway vs France preview and prediction
The match
France travel to Gillette Stadium in the World Cup on Friday 26 June (20:00 WAT) to face Norway.
Form guide
Norway's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Senegal 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
France's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Iraq 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
France arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.2 for Norway and 2.4 for France. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Norway 18%, draw 19%, France 63%.
Safer route: France or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.65 – 65% on our numbers against 61% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Norway 1–2 France. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Norway18%fair 5.64 · @4.55
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
France63%fair 1.58 · @1.64
3.61Expected goals
1.22Norway xG
2.40France xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–38%
0–16%
0–36%
From our goals model: Norway 1.2 – 2.4 France expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
France to win✓
63%
1.58
1.64
Double chance
France or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.48
Half-time result
France ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT France / FT France✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
Norway – last 6
WWDWDL
23 Jun
vs Senegal
3–2
W
16 Jun
@ Iraq
4–1
W
7 Jun
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1 Jun
vs Sweden
3–1
W
31 Mar
vs Switzerland
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
France – last 6
WWWLWW
22 Jun
vs Iraq
3–0
W
16 Jun
vs Senegal
3–1
W
8 Jun
vs Northern Ireland
3–1
W
4 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Colombia
3–1
W
26 Mar
@ Brazil
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norway and France.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Norway vs France?
On our numbers Norway have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 19% and France 63%.
How many goals will there be in Norway vs France?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs France?
Our predicted score is Norway 1–2 France, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Norway vs France?
Norway vs France (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Gillette Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
Japan1
Sweden1
Paraguay0
Australia0
Türkiye3
USA2
Senegal5
Iraq0