Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.87 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.87Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUSA to win ✗64% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.63
Türkiye vs USA preview and prediction
The match
Türkiye host USA in the World Cup on Friday 26 June, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at SoFi Stadium.
Form guide
Türkiye's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Paraguay 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
USA's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Australia 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Türkiye and 1.9 for USA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Türkiye 19%, draw 16%, USA 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was USA to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.87, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Türkiye 0–1 USA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Türkiye19%fair 5.18 · @3.55
Draw16%fair 6.08 · @3.95
USA64%fair 1.56 · @1.87
2.81Expected goals
0.89Türkiye xG
1.92USA xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Türkiye 0.9 – 1.9 USA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
USA to win✗
64%
1.56
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.55
Half-time result
USA ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT USA / FT USA✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.63
–
Form
Türkiye – last 6
LLWWWW
20 Jun
vs Paraguay
0–1
L
14 Jun
@ Australia
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Venezuela
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs FYR Macedonia
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Kosovo
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Romania
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
USA – last 5
WWLWL
19 Jun
vs Australia
2–0
W
13 Jun
vs Paraguay
4–1
W
6 Jun
vs Germany
1–2
L
31 May
vs Senegal
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Portugal
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Türkiye and USA.
Our pick is USA to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.87.
Who will win Türkiye vs USA?
On our numbers Türkiye have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 16% and USA 64%.
How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs USA?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs USA?
Our predicted score is Türkiye 0–1 USA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Türkiye vs USA?
Türkiye vs USA (World Cup) kicks off on Friday 26 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at SoFi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
Japan1
Sweden1
Paraguay0
Australia0
Norway1
France4
Senegal5
Iraq0