Ural vs Torpedo Moskva Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 22 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultUral to win ✓47% · @1.99

Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.86

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva preview and prediction

The match

The First League sees Ural take on Torpedo Moskva on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Yekaterinburg Arena. Ural are 2nd with 34 points from 17 games (in the top four), while Torpedo Moskva sit 3rd on 32 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ural's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat FK Sokol Saratov 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Torpedo Moskva's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat KAMAZ 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for Ural and 1.0 for Torpedo Moskva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Ural 47%, draw 22%, Torpedo Moskva 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Torpedo Moskva to win at 3.68 – 31% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Ural 1–1 Torpedo Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ural47%fair 2.14 · @1.99

Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.28

Torpedo Moskva31%fair 3.20 · @3.68

2.40Expected goals

1.36Ural xG

1.04Torpedo Moskva xG

52%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–012%

0–19%

0–09%

2–19%

2–08%

From our goals model: Ural 1.4 – 1.0 Torpedo Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ural to win ✓	47%	2.14	1.99
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.93	1.86
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.21
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.22	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ural / FT Ural ✓	26%	3.88	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.46	–

Form

Ural – last 6

WDWLLW

18 Apr	@ FK Sokol Saratov	3–0	W
12 Apr	vs FC UFA	0–0	D
5 Apr	vs Chayka	5–0	W
29 Mar	@ Rodina Moskva	1–3	L
22 Mar	vs Enisey	2–4	L
15 Mar	vs Arsenal Tula	2–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WDWWWL

17 Apr	vs KAMAZ	2–0	W
6 Apr	@ FC UFA	1–1	D
30 Mar	vs Ska-khabarovsk	4–1	W
23 Mar	@ Chelyabinsk	1–0	W
16 Mar	vs FK Neftekhimik	3–0	W
8 Mar	vs Rodina Moskva	0–2	L

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	+37	46
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	+18	34
3	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	+16	32
4	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	+6	32
5	Veles	18	9	4	5	+2	31
6	Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	+2	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	-3	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	+5	21
11	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	-15	19
13	Leningradets	17	4	6	7	-11	18
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	17	3	5	9	-9	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	-17	11

Team

Pts

+37

+18

+16

-3

-4

-15

-11

-14

-5

-9

-14

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

On our numbers Ural have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torpedo Moskva 31%.

How many goals will there be in Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Our predicted score is Ural 1–1 Torpedo Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ural vs Torpedo Moskva?

Ural vs Torpedo Moskva (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Yekaterinburg Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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