FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Chernomorets to win @ 3.78 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✓48% · @2.01
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets preview and prediction
The match
Chernomorets travel to Neftekhimik Stadium in the First League on Wednesday 22 April (15:30 WAT) to face FK Neftekhimik.
Form guide
FK Neftekhimik's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with KAMAZ 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Chernomorets's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Chelyabinsk 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.4 for FK Neftekhimik and 1.0 for Chernomorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Neftekhimik 48%, draw 22%, Chernomorets 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.99.
Value angle: Chernomorets to win at 3.78 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Chernomorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Neftekhimik48%fair 2.09 · @2.01
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.16
Chernomorets30%fair 3.36 · @3.78
2.35Expected goals
1.36FK Neftekhimik xG
0.99Chernomorets xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: FK Neftekhimik 1.4 – 1.0 Chernomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Neftekhimik to win✓
48%
2.09
2.01
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.99 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
DLLWLD
10 Apr
@ KAMAZ
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–3
L
1 Apr
vs Fakel
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–0
W
16 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Tekstilshchik
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chernomorets – last 4
DLWL
3 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Neftekhimik and Chernomorets.
What is the prediction for FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
On our numbers FK Neftekhimik have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chernomorets 30%.
How many goals will there be in FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
Our predicted score is FK Neftekhimik 1–1 Chernomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets?
FK Neftekhimik vs Chernomorets (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Neftekhimik Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel2
Rodina Moskva0