Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.56 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.56Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 52% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✗40% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.39
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva preview and prediction
The match
Rodina Moskva travel to Volgograd Arena in the First League on Wednesday 22 April (17:00 WAT) to face Rotor Volgograd.
Form guide
Rotor Volgograd's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Ska-khabarovsk 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Rodina Moskva's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Fakel 3–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Rodina Moskva arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Rotor Volgograd and 1.2 for Rodina Moskva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rotor Volgograd 33%, draw 27%, Rodina Moskva 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.15.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 52% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.56. Predicted score: Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Rodina Moskva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotor Volgograd33%fair 3.02 · @3.14
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.80
Rodina Moskva40%fair 2.51 · @2.48
2.19Expected goals
1.03Rotor Volgograd xG
1.16Rodina Moskva xG
52%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.0 – 1.2 Rodina Moskva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✗
40%
2.51
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.39
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.56
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.39
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.87
–
Form
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
WWWWDL
18 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
20 Mar
vs Fakel
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Ural
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva – last 6
WWWWDW
13 Apr
@ Fakel
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ FK Sokol Saratov
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Ural
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Chayka
5–2
W
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Rodina Moskva.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Rodina Moskva 40%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–1 Rodina Moskva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva?
Rotor Volgograd vs Rodina Moskva (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
Chernomorets0
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel2