Value bet: Spartak Kostroma to win @ 1.81 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Kostroma to win ✓60% · @1.81
Double chanceSpartak Kostroma or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk preview and prediction
The match
Spartak Kostroma host Ska-khabarovsk in the First League on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadion Urozhay. Spartak Kostroma are 6th with 28 points from 17 games (in the top half), while Ska-khabarovsk sit 15th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Spartak Kostroma's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ska-khabarovsk's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Rotor Volgograd 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Spartak Kostroma and 0.7 for Ska-khabarovsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Spartak Kostroma or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Spartak Kostroma to win at 1.81 – 60% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Spartak Kostroma 1–0 Ska-khabarovsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spartak Kostroma60%fair 1.66 · @1.81
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.42
Ska-khabarovsk14%fair 6.94 · @4.30
2.50Expected goals
1.76Spartak Kostroma xG
0.75Ska-khabarovsk xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.8 – 0.7 Ska-khabarovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Kostroma to win✓
60%
1.66
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Spartak Kostroma or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Half-time result
Spartak Kostroma ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
Spartak Kostroma – last 3
LDD
28 Mar
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
LDLLDL
18 Apr
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Chernomorets
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spartak Kostroma and Ska-khabarovsk.
What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ska-khabarovsk 14%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–0 Ska-khabarovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Spartak Kostroma vs Ska-khabarovsk (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka1
Chernomorets0
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel2
Rodina Moskva0