Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVilla Mitre to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceVilla Mitre or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · @1.28
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.24
Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown preview and prediction
The match
Villa Mitre host Guillermo Brown in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Fortin. Villa Mitre are 16th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Guillermo Brown sit 34th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Villa Mitre's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guillermo Brown's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Circulo Deportivo 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Villa Mitre arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.5 for Villa Mitre and 0.4 for Guillermo Brown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Villa Mitre 69%, draw 17%, Guillermo Brown 13%.
Both teams to score: no (61%) at 1.28.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Villa Mitre 1–0 Guillermo Brown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Villa Mitre69%fair 1.44 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.20
Guillermo Brown13%fair 7.60 · @17.00
1.83Expected goals
1.46Villa Mitre xG
0.36Guillermo Brown xG
39%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–017%
0–016%
1–19%
3–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Villa Mitre 1.5 – 0.4 Guillermo Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villa Mitre to win✓
69%
1.44
1.22
Double chance
Villa Mitre or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.28
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villa Mitre / FT Villa Mitre✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.24
–
Form
Villa Mitre – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Jul
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
28 Jun
vs Alvarado
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
14 Jun
vs Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
25 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sol de Mayo
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Guillermo Brown – last 6
WLLDDW
5 Jul
vs Circulo Deportivo
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–3
L
21 Jun
vs Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
7 Jun
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–0
D
31 May
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
24 May
@ Santamarina
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Villa Mitre and Guillermo Brown.
What is the prediction for Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
On our numbers Villa Mitre have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Guillermo Brown 13%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
Our predicted score is Villa Mitre 1–0 Guillermo Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown?
Villa Mitre vs Guillermo Brown (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
