Value bet: Sportivo Las Parejas to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceSportivo Las Parejas or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.38
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Sportivo Las Parejas take on Sportivo Belgrano on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Perrera. Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th with 24 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sportivo Las Parejas's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Douglas Haig 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Sportivo Las Parejas and 0.4 for Sportivo Belgrano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Sportivo Las Parejas to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Las Parejas60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
Sportivo Belgrano14%fair 7.07 · @4.33
1.74Expected goals
1.31Sportivo Las Parejas xG
0.44Sportivo Belgrano xG
36%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sportivo Las Parejas 1.3 – 0.4 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Las Parejas to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Sportivo Las Parejas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Las Parejas / FT Sportivo Las Parejas✗
35%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.38
–
Form
Sportivo Las Parejas – last 6
DDWDDW
5 Jul
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
1–0
W
13 Jun
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
30 May
vs Atletico Escobar
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DDDWLW
5 Jul
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–1
D
28 Jun
@ El Linqueño
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Las Parejas and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers Sportivo Las Parejas have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sportivo Belgrano 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Perrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
