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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio El Fortin

Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✓42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19% · fair 5.38

Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca preview and prediction

The match

Germinal de Rawson host Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Fortin. Germinal de Rawson are 30th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Olimpo Bahia Blanca sit 1st on 31 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Germinal de Rawson's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Alvarado 0–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Villa Mitre 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.7 for Germinal de Rawson and 0.8 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Germinal de Rawson32%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @2.70
Olimpo Bahia Blanca42%fair 2.35 · @2.45
1.51Expected goals
0.67Germinal de Rawson xG
0.84Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
43%Both score
24%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–022%
0–119%
1–015%
1–112%
0–28%
1–25%

From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 0.7 – 0.8 Olimpo Bahia Blanca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlimpo Bahia Blanca to win ✓42%2.352.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.761.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗50%2.001.67
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.121.10
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓19%5.38–

Form

Germinal de Rawson – last 6

LWDDLW
5 Jul@ Alvarado0–5L
28 Junvs Santamarina1–0W
14 Jun@ Villa Mitre0–0D
7 Junvs Circulo Deportivo0–0D
30 May@ Kimberley Mar del Plata0–1L
24 Mayvs Sol de Mayo1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Olimpo Bahia Blanca – last 6

DDDDDL
5 Julvs Villa Mitre0–0D
28 Jun@ Circulo Deportivo1–1D
20 Junvs Kimberley Mar del Plata0–0D
14 Jun@ Sol de Mayo1–1D
7 Junvs Guillermo Brown0–0D
24 May@ Alvarado0–2L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Olimpo Bahia Blanca.

Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Olimpo Bahia Blanca 42%.

How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca?

Germinal de Rawson vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.