Value bet: Circulo Deportivo to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCirculo Deportivo to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceCirculo Deportivo or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.33
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo preview and prediction
The match
Circulo Deportivo host Sol de Mayo in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Guillermo Trama. Circulo Deportivo are 37th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Sol de Mayo sit 28th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Circulo Deportivo's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Guillermo Brown 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Sol de Mayo's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Kimberley Mar del Plata 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Sol de Mayo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Circulo Deportivo and 0.4 for Sol de Mayo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Circulo Deportivo 63%, draw 26%, Sol de Mayo 12%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Circulo Deportivo to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Circulo Deportivo 1–0 Sol de Mayo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Circulo Deportivo63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.00
Sol de Mayo12%fair 8.48 · @5.00
1.79Expected goals
1.38Circulo Deportivo xG
0.41Sol de Mayo xG
43%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Circulo Deportivo 1.4 – 0.4 Sol de Mayo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Circulo Deportivo to win✓
63%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Circulo Deportivo or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Circulo Deportivo / FT Circulo Deportivo✓
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.33
–
Form
Circulo Deportivo – last 6
LDLDDL
5 Jul
@ Guillermo Brown
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Alvarado
0–1
L
14 Jun
vs Santamarina
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–0
D
17 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sol de Mayo – last 6
LWDLWL
5 Jul
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Guillermo Brown
1–0
W
14 Jun
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–1
D
7 Jun
@ Alvarado
0–2
L
31 May
vs Santamarina
3–2
W
24 May
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Circulo Deportivo and Sol de Mayo.
What is the prediction for Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
On our numbers Circulo Deportivo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sol de Mayo 12%.
How many goals will there be in Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
Our predicted score is Circulo Deportivo 1–0 Sol de Mayo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo?
Circulo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guillermo Trama.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
