Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento Resistencia to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.60
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central preview and prediction
The match
Tucuman Central travel to Estadio Centenario in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 28 June (20:00 WAT) to face Sarmiento Resistencia. Sarmiento Resistencia are 35th with 15 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Tucuman Central sit 32nd on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarmiento Resistencia's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to San Martin Formosa 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Tucuman Central's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Boca Unidos 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tucuman Central arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sarmiento Resistencia and 1.0 for Tucuman Central. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento Resistencia 41%, draw 25%, Tucuman Central 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sarmiento Resistencia 1–1 Tucuman Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento Resistencia41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Tucuman Central34%fair 2.97 · @3.40
2.18Expected goals
1.16Sarmiento Resistencia xG
1.02Tucuman Central xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Resistencia 1.2 – 1.0 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento Resistencia to win✓
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento Resistencia / FT Sarmiento Resistencia✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.60
–
Form
Sarmiento Resistencia – last 6
LWLLLL
21 Jun
@ San Martin Formosa
0–3
L
14 Jun
vs Defensores de Vilelas
2–0
W
6 Jun
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–2
L
31 May
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
0–1
L
23 May
@ Juventud Antoniana
0–2
L
17 May
@ Sol de América
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tucuman Central – last 6
WLWLLL
21 Jun
vs Boca Unidos
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ San Martin Formosa
2–3
L
31 May
vs Defensores de Vilelas
2–0
W
25 May
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–1
L
17 May
@ Sarmiento de La Banda
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Boca Unidos
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento Resistencia and Tucuman Central.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central?
On our numbers Sarmiento Resistencia have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tucuman Central 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Resistencia 1–1 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central?
Sarmiento Resistencia vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
