Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Costa Brava to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCosta Brava to win ✓68% · @1.55
Double chanceCosta Brava or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.21
Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Costa Brava take on San Martín Mendoza on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu. Costa Brava are 27th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while San Martín Mendoza sit 23rd on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Costa Brava's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Atenas 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Martín Mendoza's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Huracan Las Heras 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.5 for Costa Brava and 0.3 for San Martín Mendoza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Costa Brava 68%, draw 22%, San Martín Mendoza 10%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Costa Brava to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Costa Brava 1–0 San Martín Mendoza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Costa Brava68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
San Martín Mendoza10%fair 10.23 · @6.25
1.84Expected goals
1.49Costa Brava xG
0.35San Martín Mendoza xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–018%
0–016%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Costa Brava 1.5 – 0.3 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Costa Brava to win✓
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Costa Brava or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Costa Brava / FT Costa Brava✓
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.21
–
Form
Costa Brava – last 6
DWDWLL
21 Jun
@ Atenas
1–1
D
14 Jun
vs Cipolletti
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
31 May
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
2–0
W
24 May
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–2
L
17 May
@ Deportivo Rincon
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Martín Mendoza – last 6
WDWLLD
21 Jun
vs Huracan Las Heras
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Atenas
0–0
D
31 May
vs Cipolletti
1–0
W
17 May
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
1–4
L
29 Mar
@ Cipolletti
0–3
L
21 Mar
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Costa Brava and San Martín Mendoza.
What is the prediction for Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our pick is Costa Brava to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?
On our numbers Costa Brava have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and San Martín Mendoza 10%.
How many goals will there be in Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our predicted score is Costa Brava 1–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza?
Costa Brava vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Pacaembu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
