Value bet: Sportivo Belgrano to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSportivo Belgrano to win ✗43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.44
El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees El Linqueño take on Sportivo Belgrano on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Leonardo Costa. El Linqueño are 26th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Sportivo Belgrano sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
El Linqueño's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to 9 de Julio Rafaela 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sportivo Belgrano's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Douglas Haig 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sportivo Belgrano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for El Linqueño and 1.1 for Sportivo Belgrano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Linqueño 32%, draw 25%, Sportivo Belgrano 43%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Sportivo Belgrano to win at 2.75 – 43% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: El Linqueño 0–1 Sportivo Belgrano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Linqueño32%fair 3.10 · @2.62
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.70
Sportivo Belgrano43%fair 2.34 · @2.75
1.92Expected goals
0.86El Linqueño xG
1.06Sportivo Belgrano xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: El Linqueño 0.9 – 1.1 Sportivo Belgrano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Belgrano to win✗
43%
2.34
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
El Linqueño – last 6
LWLLLD
23 Jun
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–3
L
14 Jun
vs Douglas Haig
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–1
L
31 May
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
24 May
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
17 May
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – last 6
DWLWWW
20 Jun
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
24 May
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–0
W
17 May
@ Atletico Escobar
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between El Linqueño and Sportivo Belgrano.
What is the prediction for El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
On our numbers El Linqueño have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sportivo Belgrano 43%.
How many goals will there be in El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
Our predicted score is El Linqueño 0–1 Sportivo Belgrano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano?
El Linqueño vs Sportivo Belgrano (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Leonardo Costa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
