ResultIndependiente De Chivilcoy to win ✗40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Independiente De Chivilcoy take on Douglas Haig on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo. Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Douglas Haig sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Independiente De Chivilcoy's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Defensores de Belgrano VR 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Douglas Haig's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Sportivo Belgrano 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Independiente De Chivilcoy and 0.9 for Douglas Haig. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Independiente De Chivilcoy 40%, draw 27%, Douglas Haig 33%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Douglas Haig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Independiente De Chivilcoy40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Douglas Haig33%fair 3.02 · @2.90
1.92Expected goals
1.03Independiente De Chivilcoy xG
0.90Douglas Haig xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Independiente De Chivilcoy 1.0 – 0.9 Douglas Haig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente De Chivilcoy to win✗
40%
2.51
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.11
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.67
–
Form
Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6
LDDDDL
21 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–2
L
14 Jun
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
7 Jun
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2–2
D
24 May
@ Atletico Escobar
0–0
D
17 May
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Douglas Haig – last 6
DLLDLW
20 Jun
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ El Linqueño
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
0–1
L
31 May
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
17 May
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–2
L
18 Apr
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–0
W
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente De Chivilcoy and Douglas Haig.
What is the prediction for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
On our numbers Independiente De Chivilcoy have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Douglas Haig 33%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Our predicted score is Independiente De Chivilcoy 1–0 Douglas Haig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig?
Independiente De Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Raul Orlando Lungarzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
