Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.81
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre preview and prediction
The match
Bartolomé Mitre travel to Stadio Ciudad de La Banda in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 28 June (20:00 WAT) to face Sarmiento de La Banda. Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th with 25 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Bartolomé Mitre sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarmiento de La Banda's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Juventud Antoniana 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.0 conceded. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bartolomé Mitre's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Juventud Antoniana 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sarmiento de La Banda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Sarmiento de La Banda and 0.5 for Bartolomé Mitre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarmiento de La Banda 59%, draw 26%, Bartolomé Mitre 15%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarmiento de La Banda59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.00
Bartolomé Mitre15%fair 6.61 · @5.25
1.88Expected goals
1.36Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.52Bartolomé Mitre xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.4 – 0.5 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✓
34%
2.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
21%
4.81
–
Form
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
WWWWWD
13 Jun
@ Juventud Antoniana
1–0
W
7 Jun
vs Sol de América
2–0
W
31 May
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
1–0
W
25 May
vs Boca Unidos
3–0
W
17 May
vs Tucuman Central
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bartolomé Mitre – last 6
DDWLWW
20 Jun
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ Sol de América
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
2–0
W
31 May
@ Boca Unidos
1–2
L
25 May
vs Tucuman Central
1–0
W
17 May
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and Bartolomé Mitre.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bartolomé Mitre 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
