9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Result9 de Julio Rafaela to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.44
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy preview and prediction
The match
9 de Julio Rafaela host Gimnasia Chivilcoy in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 28 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at El Coloso. 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Gimnasia Chivilcoy sit 6th on 27 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
9 de Julio Rafaela's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat El Linqueño 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Atletico Escobar 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for 9 de Julio Rafaela and 1.0 for Gimnasia Chivilcoy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: 9 de Julio Rafaela 45%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Chivilcoy 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
9 de Julio Rafaela45%fair 2.20 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.88
Gimnasia Chivilcoy31%fair 3.22 · @3.60
2.24Expected goals
1.269 de Julio Rafaela xG
0.98Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: 9 de Julio Rafaela 1.3 – 1.0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
9 de Julio Rafaela to win✓
45%
2.20
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 9 de Julio Rafaela / FT 9 de Julio Rafaela✓
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WLDDLW
23 Jun
vs El Linqueño
3–2
W
13 Jun
@ Atletico Escobar
0–2
L
7 Jun
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
2–2
D
31 May
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
2–2
D
24 May
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–2
L
17 May
vs Douglas Haig
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
WDDLWL
20 Jun
vs Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Las Parejas
0–0
D
7 Jun
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
31 May
@ Sportivo Belgrano
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 9 de Julio Rafaela and Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
What is the prediction for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
On our numbers 9 de Julio Rafaela have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia Chivilcoy 31%.
How many goals will there be in 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
Our predicted score is 9 de Julio Rafaela 1–1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy?
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at El Coloso.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
