Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultKosovo to win55% · @1.85
Double chanceKosovo or draw81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.79
Kosovo vs Israel preview and prediction
The match
Kosovo host Israel in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Kosovo are 2nd with 5 points from 4 games, while Israel sit 4th on 2 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kosovo's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Austria 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Israel's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 October 2026, finished Israel 0–0 Kosovo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Kosovo and 0.8 for Israel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kosovo 55%, draw 27%, Israel 19%.
Safer route: Kosovo or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our prediction: Kosovo or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kosovo 1–0 Israel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kosovo55%fair 1.83 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.40
Israel19%fair 5.37 · @4.20
2.14Expected goals
1.36Kosovo xG
0.78Israel xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Kosovo 1.4 – 0.8 Israel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Kosovo
Israel
Attack vs UEFA Nations League average
-22%
-28%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.10
0.74
Our own ratings from every UEFA Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Kosovo or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kosovo vs Israel?
On our numbers Kosovo have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Israel 19%.
How many goals will there be in Kosovo vs Israel?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kosovo vs Israel?
Our predicted score is Kosovo 1–0 Israel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Kosovo vs Israel?
Kosovo vs Israel (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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