Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sweden 1.9 – 0.8 Bosnia & Herzegovina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sweden are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Sweden have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Bosnia & Herzegovina have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Sweden, 0.8 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sweden have won 0, Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.49.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sweden to win | 65% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Double chance | Sweden or draw | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.84 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | Sweden ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sweden / FT Sweden | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 13% | 7.71 | – |
Form
Sweden – last 6
| 5 Oct | @ Romania | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | @ Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | vs Poland | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Romania | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | @ France | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | @ Japan | 1–1 | D |
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Poland | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Sweden | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | @ Romania | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Poland | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Jul | @ USA | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | vs Qatar | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 2 Oct 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina v Sweden | 1–1 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | -10 | 0 |
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Rep. Of IrelandFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
On our numbers Sweden have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
Sweden vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.