UEFA Nations League · Europe · Stadion Letná

Czechia

LLLLL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Spain

WWWWD

Czechia vs Spain prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpain to win74% · @1.12
Double chanceSpain or draw92% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–211% · fair 8.95

Win chances

Czechia8%fair 12.04 · @17.00
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @9.00
Spain74%fair 1.35 · @1.12
3.39Expected goals
0.81Czechia xG
2.58Spain xG
50%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–211%
0–310%
1–29%
0–19%
1–38%
1–17%

From our goals model: Czechia 0.8 – 2.6 Spain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Spain travel as clear favourites – 74% to win, against 8% for Czechia.

Czechia have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 2.3 per game. Spain have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 2.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. Spain come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.4 goals (0.8 for Czechia, 2.6 for Spain). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (11%), 0–3 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Czechia have won 0, Spain have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.58.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSpain to win74%1.351.12
Double chanceSpain or draw92%1.091.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%2.001.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.201.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals63%1.581.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.711.53
Half-time resultSpain ahead at half-time56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Spain / FT Spain52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–211%8.95–

Form

Czechia – last 6

LLLLLD
6 Oct@ England0–3L
3 Oct@ Spain1–3L
29 Sepvs England0–2L
26 Sepvs Croatia1–2L
25 Junvs Mexico0–3L
18 Junvs South Africa1–1D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Spain – last 6

WWWWDW
6 Oct@ Croatia2–1W
3 Octvs Czechia3–1W
29 Sepvs Croatia4–1W
26 Sep@ England3–2W
19 Julvs Argentina0–0D
14 Jul@ France2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026Spain v Czechia3–1

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Türkiye Belgium 221958 2Belgium to win 58%@1.90 Armenia Cyprus 422335 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 Italy France 241363 2France to win 63%@1.83 England Croatia 692110 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.48 Albania Finland 572220 1XAlbania or draw 80%@1.20 San Marino Belarus 71578 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 Montenegro Latvia 662212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Czechia vs Spain?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Czechia vs Spain?

On our numbers Czechia have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Spain 74%.

How many goals will there be in Czechia vs Spain?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Czechia vs Spain?

Czechia vs Spain (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.