UEFA Nations League · Europe · Gürsel Aksel Stadium

Türkiye

LLLLW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Belgium

LWLWL

Türkiye vs Belgium prediction & analysis

58%
Footrivo pick

Belgium to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.90

5/10Rating
1.90Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBelgium to win58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.12

Win chances

Türkiye22%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.80
Belgium58%fair 1.72 · @1.90
3.11Expected goals
1.13Türkiye xG
1.98Belgium xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Türkiye 1.1 – 2.0 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Belgium shade it despite being away from home – 58% to win, against 22% for Türkiye.

Türkiye have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (1W 0D 5L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Belgium have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Belgium come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.1 for Türkiye, 2.0 for Belgium). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Türkiye have won 0, Belgium have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Belgium to win at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.90 is better than our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBelgium to win58%1.721.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score62%1.621.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.221.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.631.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.671.62
Half-time resultBelgium ahead at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Belgium / FT Belgium36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.12–

Form

Türkiye – last 6

LLLLWL
5 Oct@ Italy1–3L
2 Oct@ Belgium0–3L
28 Sepvs Italy1–4L
25 Sepvs France0–1L
26 Junvs USA3–2W
20 Junvs Paraguay0–1L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Belgium – last 6

LWLWLW
5 Oct@ France1–4L
2 Octvs Türkiye3–0W
28 Sepvs France0–1L
25 Sep@ Italy2–0W
10 Jul@ Spain1–2L
7 Jul@ USA4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Belgium v Türkiye3–0

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Armenia Cyprus 422335 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 Italy France 241363 2France to win 63%@1.83 Czechia Spain 81874 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 England Croatia 692110 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.48 Albania Finland 572220 1XAlbania or draw 80%@1.20 San Marino Belarus 71578 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 Montenegro Latvia 662212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Türkiye vs Belgium?

Our pick is Belgium to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.

Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?

On our numbers Türkiye have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Belgium 58%.

How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs Belgium?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Türkiye vs Belgium?

Türkiye vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Gürsel Aksel Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.