UEFA Nations League · Europe · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium

Armenia

DLLWD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Cyprus

WWDLW

Armenia vs Cyprus prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Cyprus to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Quick tips for this match

ResultArmenia to win42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.29

Win chances

Armenia42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Cyprus35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
2.32Expected goals
1.23Armenia xG
1.09Cyprus xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Armenia 1.2 – 1.1 Cyprus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Very little separates Armenia and Cyprus on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.

Armenia have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Cyprus have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. Cyprus come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Armenia, 1.1 for Cyprus). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (11%).

In their last 1 meeting, Armenia have won 0, Cyprus have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.29. For a bigger price, Cyprus to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultArmenia to win42%2.382.15
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score50%1.991.83
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals69%1.441.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.771.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.291.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Armenia / FT Armenia23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.29–

Form

Armenia – last 6

DLLWDD
5 Oct@ Montenegro0–0D
2 Oct@ Cyprus0–2L
28 Sepvs Montenegro2–3L
25 Sepvs Latvia2–0W
9 Junvs Moldova1–1D
6 Junvs Kazakhstan1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Cyprus – last 6

WWDLWD
5 Octvs Latvia2–1W
2 Octvs Armenia2–0W
28 Sep@ Latvia0–0D
25 Sep@ Montenegro1–2L
7 Jun@ Liechtenstein2–0W
4 Jun@ Slovenia1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Cyprus v Armenia2–0

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Türkiye Belgium 221958 2Belgium to win 58%@1.90 Italy France 241363 2France to win 63%@1.83 Czechia Spain 81874 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 England Croatia 692110 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.48 Albania Finland 572220 1XAlbania or draw 80%@1.20 San Marino Belarus 71578 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 Montenegro Latvia 662212 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

On our numbers Armenia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cyprus 35%.

How many goals will there be in Armenia vs Cyprus?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia vs Cyprus (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.