Ukraine vs Hungary prediction & analysis

Ukraine vs Hungary preview and prediction

The match

Ukraine host Hungary in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 5 October, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Štadión Antona Malatinského. Ukraine are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Hungary sit 2nd on 7 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ukraine's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Northern Ireland 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Hungary's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Georgia 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 25 September 2026, finished Hungary 0–1 Ukraine.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.0 goals: 0.5 for Ukraine and 0.5 for Hungary. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 92% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Ukraine 36%, draw 25%, Hungary 39%.
• Both teams to score: no (59%) at 1.91.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ukraine 0–0 Hungary. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.