Cyprus vs Latvia prediction & analysis
Cyprus to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cyprus 1.3 – 0.3 Latvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cyprus are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 14% for Latvia.
Cyprus have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.8 per game. Latvia have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Cyprus come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.7 goals (1.3 for Cyprus, 0.3 for Latvia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (25%), 0–0 (19%), 2–0 (16%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cyprus have won 0, Latvia have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Cyprus to win at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cyprus to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.62 ▲ |
| Double chance | Cyprus or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.87 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cyprus / FT Cyprus ✗ | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
Form
Cyprus – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Armenia | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ Latvia | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Montenegro | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | @ Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Jun | @ Slovenia | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | vs Moldova | 3–2 | W |
Latvia – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Montenegro | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | vs Cyprus | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Armenia | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Jun | vs Faroe Islands | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Gibraltar | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Mar | @ Gibraltar | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
| 28 Sep 2026 | Latvia v Cyprus | 0–0 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 4 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 4 | -4 | 1 |
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Sweden1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cyprus vs Latvia?
Our pick is Cyprus to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Cyprus vs Latvia?
On our numbers Cyprus have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Latvia 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cyprus vs Latvia?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Cyprus vs Latvia?
Cyprus vs Latvia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.