Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bosnia & Herzegovina 1.4 – 1.6 Poland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Poland shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 34% for Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Bosnia & Herzegovina have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Poland have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.4 for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 1.6 for Poland). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 0, Poland have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Poland to win ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Poland / FT Poland ✗ | 26% | 3.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.09 | – |
Form
Bosnia & Herzegovina – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Sweden | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | @ Romania | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Poland | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Jul | @ USA | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | vs Qatar | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | @ Switzerland | 1–4 | L |
Poland – last 6
| 2 Oct | vs Romania | 6–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | @ Sweden | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Jun | vs Nigeria | 2–2 | D |
| 31 May | vs Ukraine | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Sweden | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 25 Sep 2026 | Poland v Bosnia & Herzegovina | 0–0 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
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Armenia0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
On our numbers Bosnia & Herzegovina have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Poland 44%.
How many goals will there be in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
When is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Bilino Polje.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.