Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrance to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceFrance or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.16
France vs Belgium preview and prediction
The match
Belgium travel to Stade de France in the UEFA Nations League on Monday 5 October (19:45 WAT) to face France. France are 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Belgium sit 3rd on 6 points.
Form guide
France's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Italy 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belgium's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Türkiye 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 September 2026, finished Belgium 0–1 France.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for France and 0.4 for Belgium. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: France 64%, draw 19%, Belgium 17%.
Safer route: France or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was France to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: France 1–0 Belgium. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
France64%fair 1.55 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.34 · @4.20
Belgium17%fair 5.95 · @5.00
1.67Expected goals
1.28France xG
0.39Belgium xG
52%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–019%
2–015%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: France 1.3 – 0.4 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is France to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win France vs Belgium?
On our numbers France have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Belgium 17%.
How many goals will there be in France vs Belgium?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for France vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is France 1–0 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is France vs Belgium?
France vs Belgium (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de France.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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