Spain vs Czechia prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 2.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Spain 2.8 – 0.9 Czechia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Spain are clear favourites at home with a 75% chance of winning, against 9% for Czechia.
Spain have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Czechia have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Spain come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (2.8 for Spain, 0.9 for Czechia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (9%), 3–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.50 is better than our fair price of 1.80, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Spain to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.05 |
| Double chance | Spain or draw ✓ | 91% | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.80 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Spain ahead at half-time ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Spain / FT Spain ✓ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 9% | 10.74 | – |
Form
Spain – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs Croatia | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ England | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Jul | vs Argentina | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Jul | @ France | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Jul | vs Belgium | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Jul | @ Portugal | 1–0 | W |
Czechia – last 6
| 29 Sep | vs England | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Croatia | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jun | vs Mexico | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jun | vs South Africa | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Jun | @ South Korea | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Jun | vs Guatemala | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Czechia.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 4 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |  England | 4 | +11 | 9 |
| 3 |  Croatia | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 4 | -8 | 0 |
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Scotland2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Spain vs Czechia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.50.
Who will win Spain vs Czechia?
On our numbers Spain have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Czechia 9%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Czechia?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Spain vs Czechia?
Spain vs Czechia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.