Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Kawasaki Frontale take on Machida Zelvia on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium. Kawasaki Frontale are 4th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Machida Zelvia sit 3rd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kawasaki Frontale's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.6 for Machida Zelvia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kawasaki Frontale33%fair 3.04 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Machida Zelvia46%fair 2.17 · @2.25
2.82Expected goals
1.27Kawasaki Frontale xG
1.56Machida Zelvia xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Kawasaki Frontale 1.3 – 1.6 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✗
46%
2.17
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Form
Kawasaki Frontale – last 6
LWLLWW
10 May
@ Kashiwa Reysol
0–1
L
6 May
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–0
W
2 May
@ FC Tokyo
0–2
L
29 Apr
@ Urawa
0–2
L
25 Apr
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWWWL
10 May
@ JEF United Chiba
2–0
W
6 May
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2–0
W
21 Apr
vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1–0
W
17 Apr
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–0
W
11 Apr
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs FC Tokyo
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kawasaki Frontale and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Kawasaki Frontale have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Machida Zelvia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia?
Kawasaki Frontale vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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