Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✗63% · @1.73
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.86
V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe preview and prediction
The match
Vissel Kobe travel to Peace Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 17 May (05:00 WAT) to face V-varen Nagasaki. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Vissel Kobe sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Cerezo Osaka 2–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vissel Kobe's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Kyoto Sanga 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Vissel Kobe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 February 2026, finished Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.9 for Vissel Kobe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Vissel Kobe to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 Vissel Kobe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
V-varen Nagasaki13%fair 7.66 · @4.75
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.55
Vissel Kobe63%fair 1.58 · @1.73
2.72Expected goals
0.78V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.94Vissel Kobe xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 0.8 – 1.9 Vissel Kobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vissel Kobe 63%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 Vissel Kobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
JEF United Chiba0
Kashima2
Kawasaki Frontale1
Machida Zelvia1