Value bet: Tokyo Verdy to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKawasaki Frontale to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.95
Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy travel to Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium in the J1 League on Wednesday 6 May (09:00 WAT) to face Kawasaki Frontale. Kawasaki Frontale are 4th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kawasaki Frontale's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tokyo Verdy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Tokyo Verdy 0–2 Kawasaki Frontale.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.3 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kawasaki Frontale 42%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Tokyo Verdy to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kawasaki Frontale42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.93 · @3.45
2.78Expected goals
1.48Kawasaki Frontale xG
1.31Tokyo Verdy xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kawasaki Frontale 1.5 – 1.3 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Kawasaki Frontale have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokyo Verdy 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Kawasaki Frontale 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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