Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League on Wednesday 6 May, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Vissel Kobe sit 1st on 35 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vissel Kobe's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Gamba Osaka 0–5 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Vissel Kobe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Vissel Kobe 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.3 for Vissel Kobe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Vissel Kobe to win at 3.30 – 35% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Vissel Kobe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.40
Vissel Kobe35%fair 2.85 · @3.30
2.78Expected goals
1.47Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
1.32Vissel Kobe xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.5 – 1.3 Vissel Kobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vissel Kobe 35%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Vissel Kobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Vissel Kobe (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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