Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗64% · @1.90
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy host Kashima in the J1 League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished Kashima 2–0 Tokyo Verdy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.7 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.7 for Kashima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 15%, draw 21%, Kashima 64%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy15%fair 6.66 · @4.33
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.20
Kashima64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
2.42Expected goals
0.68Tokyo Verdy xG
1.74Kashima xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.7 – 1.7 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kashima 64%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima?
Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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