Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗61% · @1.68
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.85
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
Avispa Fukuoka host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Wednesday 29 April, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Best Denki Stadium. Avispa Fukuoka are 10th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Fagiano Okayama 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Avispa Fukuoka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Avispa Fukuoka and 1.8 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Avispa Fukuoka17%fair 5.72 · @5.10
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.55
Sanfrecce Hiroshima61%fair 1.63 · @1.68
2.66Expected goals
0.84Avispa Fukuoka xG
1.82Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Avispa Fukuoka 0.8 – 1.8 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Avispa Fukuoka have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 61%.
How many goals will there be in Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Avispa Fukuoka 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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