Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vissel Kobe to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultVissel Kobe to win ✗63% · @1.80
Double chanceVissel Kobe or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.96
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Vissel Kobe take on Cerezo Osaka on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Noevir Stadium Kobe. Vissel Kobe are 1st with 35 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Cerezo Osaka sit 2nd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Vissel Kobe's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Vissel Kobe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Vissel Kobe and 0.8 for Cerezo Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Vissel Kobe to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vissel Kobe or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vissel Kobe63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.70
Cerezo Osaka12%fair 8.07 · @4.10
2.74Expected goals
1.95Vissel Kobe xG
0.79Cerezo Osaka xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Vissel Kobe 1.9 – 0.8 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vissel Kobe to win✗
63%
1.60
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Vissel Kobe or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
Vissel Kobe ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vissel Kobe / FT Vissel Kobe✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.96
–
Form
Vissel Kobe – last 6
LWWWWW
20 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Fagiano Okayama
4–1
W
1 Apr
vs Shimizu S-pulse
2–0
W
27 Mar
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–0
W
11 Mar
vs FC Seoul
2–1
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
LWWLLW
25 Apr
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Kyoto Sanga
3–0
W
11 Apr
@ Gamba Osaka
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ Nagoya Grampus
0–3
L
18 Mar
vs Fagiano Okayama
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vissel Kobe and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Vissel Kobe or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Vissel Kobe have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cerezo Osaka 12%.
How many goals will there be in Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Vissel Kobe 1–0 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka?
Vissel Kobe vs Cerezo Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Noevir Stadium Kobe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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