Machida Zelvia travel to Saitama Stadium 2002 in the J1 League on Sunday 22 March (08:00 WAT) to face Urawa. Urawa are 6th with 25 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Machida Zelvia sit 3rd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Urawa's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Tokyo Verdy 0–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Kashima 0–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Machida Zelvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Urawa and 1.3 for Machida Zelvia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Urawa 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Urawa39%fair 2.56 · @2.65
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia37%fair 2.73 · @2.65
2.74Expected goals
1.40Urawa xG
1.34Machida Zelvia xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Urawa 1.4 – 1.3 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Urawa to win✗
39%
2.56
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Urawa / FT Urawa✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.06
–
Form
Urawa – last 5
LWLWD
14 Mar
@ Tokyo Verdy
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Mito Hollyhock
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashima
2–3
L
21 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
1–1
D
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
LWWDWW
18 Mar
vs Kashima
0–3
L
14 Mar
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Chengdu Better City
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Urawa and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Urawa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Machida Zelvia 37%.
How many goals will there be in Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Urawa 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Urawa vs Machida Zelvia?
Urawa vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Saitama Stadium 2002.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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