Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗64% · @1.80
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.67
Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima travel to IAI Stadium Nihondaira in the J1 League on Sunday 22 March (05:00 WAT) to face Shimizu S-pulse. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Nagoya Grampus 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Shimizu S-pulse and 2.0 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (88%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse12%fair 8.66 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
2.71Expected goals
0.75Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.97Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 0.7 – 2.0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
64%
1.55
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.38
Half-time result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.67
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Vissel Kobe
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
LWWLLW
18 Mar
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
11 Mar
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–3
L
27 Feb
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Cerezo Osaka
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 64%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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