Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.66
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
FC Tokyo's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat JEF United Chiba 2–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.5 for FC Tokyo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 27%, draw 23%, FC Tokyo 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 1–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy27%fair 3.64 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
FC Tokyo50%fair 2.00 · @2.00
2.59Expected goals
1.05Tokyo Verdy xG
1.54FC Tokyo xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 1.1 – 1.5 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Tokyo to win✗
50%
2.00
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Tokyo / FT FC Tokyo✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.66
–
Form
Tokyo Verdy – last 5
LWLLW
18 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–2
L
14 Mar
vs Urawa
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kashima
0–2
L
28 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
FC Tokyo – last 5
WWLWD
18 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3–0
W
28 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
14 Feb
vs Urawa
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FC Tokyo 50%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 1–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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