Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✓66% · @1.55
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✓85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock preview and prediction
The match
Mito Hollyhock travel to Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium in the J1 League on Sunday 22 March (08:00 WAT) to face Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol are 8th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Mito Hollyhock sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Machida Zelvia 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mito Hollyhock's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mito Hollyhock arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Kashiwa Reysol and 0.8 for Mito Hollyhock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 53% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Mito Hollyhock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashiwa Reysol66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @3.85
Mito Hollyhock15%fair 6.65 · @6.20
2.89Expected goals
2.05Kashiwa Reysol xG
0.84Mito Hollyhock xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.1 – 0.8 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✓
66%
1.51
1.55
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
Kashiwa Reysol – last 5
LLWLL
14 Mar
vs Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ JEF United Chiba
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 3
WLD
18 Mar
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Urawa
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mito Hollyhock 15%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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