Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.90
Kashima vs JEF United Chiba preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Kashima take on JEF United Chiba on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 07:00 (WAT) at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while JEF United Chiba sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Machida Zelvia 3–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
JEF United Chiba's last 4: LLWL Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Kashima and 0.7 for JEF United Chiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kashima 64%, draw 22%, JEF United Chiba 14%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Kashima 1–0 JEF United Chiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.85
JEF United Chiba14%fair 7.37 · @5.80
2.54Expected goals
1.83Kashima xG
0.70JEF United Chiba xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.8 – 0.7 JEF United Chiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.90
–
Form
Kashima – last 6
WWWWWW
18 Mar
@ Machida Zelvia
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
28 Feb
@ Urawa
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
JEF United Chiba – last 4
LLWL
18 Mar
vs FC Tokyo
1–2
L
14 Mar
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and JEF United Chiba.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?
On our numbers Kashima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and JEF United Chiba 14%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–0 JEF United Chiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs JEF United Chiba?
Kashima vs JEF United Chiba (J1 League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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