Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 55% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Kashima host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 08:00 (WAT) at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashima's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Urawa 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Kashima and 1.0 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kashima 59%, draw 21%, Tokyo Verdy 20%.
Safer route: Kashima or draw (80%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 55% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kashima 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima59%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.35
Tokyo Verdy20%fair 4.97 · @4.60
2.84Expected goals
1.87Kashima xG
0.97Tokyo Verdy xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Kashima 1.9 – 1.0 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
59%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.50 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.15
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✓
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Form
Kashima – last 3
WWW
28 Feb
@ Urawa
3–2
W
21 Feb
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 2
LW
28 Feb
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Kashiwa Reysol
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Kashima have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tokyo Verdy 20%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Kashima 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy?
Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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