Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 1.70 – our chance 67% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗67% · @1.70
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37
JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
JEF United Chiba host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 05:00 (WAT) at Fukuda Denshi Arena. JEF United Chiba are 10th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat FC Tokyo 2–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for JEF United Chiba and 2.1 for Kashiwa Reysol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (88%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Kashiwa Reysol to win at 1.70 – 67% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: JEF United Chiba 0–2 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JEF United Chiba12%fair 8.52 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Kashiwa Reysol67%fair 1.50 · @1.70
2.85Expected goals
0.77JEF United Chiba xG
2.08Kashiwa Reysol xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.8 – 2.1 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✗
67%
1.50
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.37
–
Form
JEF United Chiba – last 1
L
27 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kashiwa Reysol – last 3
WLL
28 Feb
@ FC Tokyo
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Kashima
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Tokyo Verdy
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and Kashiwa Reysol.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kashiwa Reysol 67%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–2 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol?
JEF United Chiba vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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